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Experimentation

Thomas Edison’s Greatest Invention

  • October 19, 2019
  • by Andy

A lot of electrons have been taken up (get that) over the past few years revisiting Edison and his true role in the inventions he’s credited with as well as his predatory nature towards competitors. Its a topic I’ve found interesting but let’s set that aside for now as there isn’t definitive evidence one way or the other.

The most interesting aspect here are two things:

  1. That invention rarely happens in isolation and, in fact, real-time collaboration (vs. building on previous generations) has shown to be the most effective way to stimulate technological advancement — not necessarily commercial but that’s another topic. Bell Labs, Xerox Parc, Dupont are just a few examples as this NYT article points out.
  2. That there’s very little true research & development in commercial entities any more. Pressure for profits and technological movement not affording the establishment of traditional monopolies (tech monopolies are another matter; see below) don’t afford much of the R. The D is now well entrenched in business due to the rise of rapid commercialization and distribution due to tech and the Internet, respectively.

On the latter, one of the only places we see R&D investment are in the big tech companies. Their profits afford “moonshots”. However the orientation is still to commercialize what they’re pursuing. And that’s not a bad thing, but it doesn’t give the space for pure science projects driven by the improvement of the human condition.

The other modern bastion of this was venture-backed R&D. However, with the pressure to show near-term commercial success, there is little room for 5+ year science projects with unclear commercialization. Unfortunately, that’s led to a perversion of the VC industry in hunting unicorns (more on that another time).

As mentioned in this article, academia is one of the last places for research. However, so much of that is now focused on data gathering vs. fundamental hypothesis testing via experimentation. Thus, we’re in a time of incremental change focused on commercial outcomes. Edison might have fit in nicely.

Thomas alva edison listened with his teeth. The inventor of the phonograph was completely deaf in one ear and could barely hear in the other, the result of a mysterious affliction in his childhood. To appreciate a delicate tune emanating from a music player or piano, he would chomp into the wood and absorb the sound waves into his skull. From there they would pass through the cochlea and into the auditory nerve, which would ferry the melody to his prodigious brain. Edison’s approach to music consumption had curious side effects, beyond the visible bite marks all over his phonographs. He couldn’t hear at the highest frequencies, couldn’t stand vocal vibrato, and declared Mozart’s music an affront to melody. But his inner ear was so sensitive that he could dazzle sound engineers by pinpointing subtle flaws in their recordings, such as a squeaky flute key among the woodwinds.

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/11/edmund-morris-edison/598357/
What's tech?

What’s Tech?

  • October 18, 2019
  • by Andy

I’ve been heads down on a couple of exciting projects this month in addition to my teaching and running my digital businesses. The only one I can talk about is the new program that I’m building at NYU’s Stern School of Business for a Tech Product Management MBA. We believe its the first of its kind and aligns with the school’s focus on building its reputation and offerings in tech.

The first stage will launch this spring with a new advanced class for future product managers building upon the one I’ve taught for the past 5 years. Very experiential. I’m looking for guest product speakers so if you have an interesting case study, please reach out.

In the future we’ll be offering a specialization (roughly a “major” at Stern) and track for the new Tech MBA. Allows me to realize a passion and idea I’ve had for years to bridge the gap in product management applicants with a qualified background.

Culture

Public figures now speaking to affect SEO?

  • October 1, 2019
  • by Andy

If true, the really means we have crossed into a new domain with public figures choosing their speech to affect SEO and suppress negative stories. Unreal.

Within the space of an hour. This didn’t happen by luck. pic.twitter.com/Z6T7lCBdry

— Remoaning Myrtle #FBPE (@TheAndyMaturin) September 29, 2019
Finance

Why Private Equity Should Not Exist

  • September 26, 2019
  • by Andy

Interesting read on the history of PE (from 70s theory and legal changes to Regan de-regulation and tax law changes to LBOs) and what can be done to reign in the negative parts of their activities.

I’m troubled by what modern PE has become. Here’s to a return to actually investing (buying out) companies to fuel them. Let’s return to investor = owner.

What critics of PE are proposing is a profound restructuring of the philosophy of the American political economy, a return to excellence in production as the goal instead of excellence in manipulation. If critics succeeds, those who make and create will have their bargaining power increase radically, which will mean wage growth across the bottom and middle tier. Swaths of elite powerful people will lose power. It’ll be really jarring, because we aren’t used to a producer-focused economic order anymore. But it is what we need to do.

https://mattstoller.substack.com/p/why-private-equity-should-not-exist
Regulation

Do Americans want to break up companies like Amazon…

  • September 24, 2019April 26, 2022
  • by Andy

I was a bit surprised by this. I thought this argument was mostly the domain of the tech and political elite and that most people just liked cheap/free/fast services. If this sentiment has truly trickled to a broader swath of the electorate along with those in both parties calling for it, the tech companies are going to face a 2020 election season filled with calls to break them up. Can they weather the storm? If it does gain substantive traction (vs. just political bluster) I think there’s a long legal battle which I’m not sure the US government has great footing given how the law is written and precedent of a focus on monopolies harming consumers through price inflation. New laws may have to be passed. Facebook is in the lead position with the most scrutiny and easiest divestiture path (unwind the Instagram and Whatsapp acquisitions). Google is on deck. Will be interesting to see how politically savvy they become.

What's tech?

What’s Tech?

  • September 18, 2019
  • by Andy

Election season is amplifying the focus on tech and possible regulatory actions which are picking up steam. Seems tech doesn’t have many friends on either side of the aisle. I suspect this is somewhat due to not being sophisticated (historically) with their lobbying staying on the political sidelines. It takes a lot of time (money) to build false friends. However, I think there’s something deeper at play which you can see in recent employee incidents at Google: tech people tend to occupy the poles of the political circle. They tend toward extreme libertarian or liberal. I said “poles” instead of ends as I believe its not a political spectrum but circle. There’s often only a small gap between “liberal” and “libertarian” positions. Being at the poles — even while the tone in Washington appears more polarized — is not a good place to be. What could regulation do? Would a Warren administration take this on?

Commentary

How Apple, the ultimate product company, is a functional…

  • September 17, 2019
  • by Andy

The org-du-jour for modern companies is rarely a functional one. Considered outdated as traditional 20th century tops down management, functional organizations are an outgrowth of the need for large functional workforces. When you needed to produce widgets at scale, you needed large numbers of workers, managers of those workers, managers of those managers and so on. The hierarchy and its function reinforced the structure: do what you do efficiently and leadership will ensure it comes together as an end product.

The rise of the knowledge worker, analog to digital transformation and automation changed that. Suddenly, businesses could achieve massive scale with a relatively light workforce. The new worker was not a heads down widget assembler but a highly educated person with ample tools and abilities to create. Thus, the hierarchy was both torn down not only by workers not wanting to be a cog in the wheel but also by managers cut from the same cloth willing to experiment to drive more innovation out of their quite able workforce.

Tech companies tended to lead this charge as massive margins and scale allowed them to toy in areas away from the core business but also retain highly valued employees by affording them flexibility and discretion, to a degree, over what they worked on. This tended to flatten organizations, push decision making down and tear out the base of the traditional hierarchy, mostly to great success, reinforcing its use. Many traditional companies — under pressure of and trying to replicate the innovation within tech companies — are wrestling with their own hierarchies. If not to bring this culture but also to attract and retain the highly valued top-tier knowledge worker.

Amongst tech companies, Apple is a notable outlier. They have retained and thrived under a mostly functional organizational structure and hierarchy. They have even resisted the trend to split into divisions with functional structures like Microsoft did. Some of this was born of tradition being one of the old guard tech organizations. However, how can a company thought of by many as the ultimate tech product organization, thrive with a structure many of their peers consider outdated?

One could argue that Apple is the ultimate manifestation of the functional organization due to their focus on a seamless customer experience. Many tech companies expand from a core base product (e.g. Google’s search, Facebook’s feed, Amazon’s e-commerce store) through ancillary products and services that leverage the network effect. As they experiment with other products, they build up mini-organizations that are mostly self-contained for each of those products. That allows them to iterate and evolve faster and somewhat independently of the core. This is a mostly successful strategy (esp for the three examples above).

However, there is a downside. If your core and side products evolve via largely independent teams, their experience will also diverge creating a disjointed customer experience. Google realized this a decade+ back as Gmail, Maps and GDrive/GDocs became major products. A user moving across them (if they even seamlessly could) might as well have been moving across lightly integrated offerings from different companies. Recognizing this weakness, a team of designers formed a group to unify the experience. It took years and I’m sure a lot of internal arm wrestling but the result was Material Design and now a (more) unified experience.

Apple is the epitome of the unified experience. They marshal a massive, highly skilled workforce to create focused products. They are rigorous about seamless integration through the whole experience which is often their only differentiation. The way they achieve this is at the top of the functional hierarchy. In many ways, this is Steve Jobs’ greatest legacy for the company. His, at times ruthless, focus on experience, unified his executives and thus his teams. They built highly focused and skilled organizations (e.g. chip engineering, user interface design, etc). Because no one (but the execs) had responsibility for the overall experience, they didn’t afford anyone to go off the farm from the core design. In fact, they often kept other functional teams in the dark about what the others were working on only agreeing to limited information and “interfaces” between them for necessary integration.

Thus, one could argue that Apple’s products are what they are due to the functional organization as opposed to being hindered by it. Is it replicable? Perhaps, but the argument that this is Jobs’ greatest legacy has merit. Over the decade or so since his direct involvement waned, the organizational design and culture continues but one could argue that the lack of innovation from Apple since — with mostly incremental and accessory products & services — is due to not having him drive the integrated experience over a functional organization from the top.

Commentary

How Each Big Tech Company May Be Targeted by…

  • September 15, 2019
  • by Andy

Of these four:

  • Amazon: Favoring its own products?
  • Apple: The power of the App Store
  • Facebook: Consolidation of social media
  • Google: What appears in search results

Google really presents the biggest concern. For better or worse, search is still the gateway to much of the monetization of the internet. Yes, Amazon exploits is master view of its marketplace to sell their own products. However, Amazon branded products are still a tiny % of the overall market and often are the generic to other sellers more specialized products. Plus, no one has proven that Amazon is favoring their own.

The Apple AppStore is powerful and there have been abuses (takedowns, not allowing products to compete with Apple’s) but, worldwide, Apple is still a small % of overall app sales.

Facebook is more compelling. However, there are alternative social media (its mostly but not exclusively winner take all). And there is likely a simpler fix to right this by unwinding the Instagram and Whatsapp acquisitions. Imagine Facebook proper (and Messenger) having to compete there?

Google owns, controls and can shift whole businesses and industries with an algorithm change (see what the Medic algorithm update did to the natural health and wellness space). Even if you buy their “don’t be evil” mantra, they simply have too much power and depend far too much on algorithms to make decisions. Talk to any advertiser who’s received an ad takedown from one of Google’s algos. You contact support who can’t tell you why your ad was taken down and they spend their time trying to help you trick the algo to get your ad back up. There’s a problem here.

Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google have been the envy of corporate America, admired for their size, influence and remarkable growth.
Now that success is attracting a different kind of spotlight. In Washington, Brussels and beyond, regulators and lawmakers are investigating whether the four technology companies have used their size and wealth to quash competition and expand their dominance.
The four firms are lumped together so often that they have become known as Big Tech. Their business models differ, as do the antitrust arguments against them. But those grievances have one thing in common: fear that too much power is in the hands of too few companies.
The attorney general of New York, Letitia James, said Friday that the attorneys general in eight states — she and three other Democrats, plus four Republicans — and the District of Columbia had begun an antitrust investigation of Facebook.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/08/technology/antitrust-amazon-apple-facebook-google.html
Culture

There Is No Tech Backlash

  • September 15, 2019
  • by Andy

This reminds me a bit of the adage “90% of people talk about privacy but only 10% do anything about it.” Maybe this is just emblematic of the depth of dependency (and its dependency in most cases, not addiction) on tech. The deepest I see is people now having an ability to avoid social situations around them by going to their device or using Facebook to connect when they feel they can’t connect to those around them. Deeply entrenched habits are not easily displaced (and remember that you never really lose a habit, it can only be replaced by something else).

It’s fun, and increasingly fashionable, to complain about technology. Our own devices distract us, others’ devices spy on us, social media companies poison public discourse, new wired objects violate our privacy, and all of this contributes to a general sense of runaway change careening beyond our control. No wonder there’s a tech backlash.
But, really, is there?

There certainly has beentalk of a backlash, for a couple of years now. Politicians have discussed regulating big tech companies more tightly. Fines have been issued, breakups called for. A tech press once dedicated almost exclusively to gadget lust and organizing conferences that trot out tech lords for the rest of us to worship has taken on a more critical tone; a drumbeat of exposés reveal ethically and legally dubious corporate behavior. Novels and movies paint a skeptical or even dystopian picture of where tech is taking us. We all know people who have theatrically quit this or that social media service, or announced digital sabbaticals. And, of course, everybody kvetches, all the time.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/14/opinion/tech-backlash.html
AI

Tech And The Military: 15+ Tech CEOs And Investors…

  • September 5, 2019
  • by Andy

An important debate going on and I’m going to sidestep the core question as it is multi-faceted and complex. However, there is another perspective to consider here which is that workers (well, at least tech knowledge workers) have shown there is now another ability to express their views meaningfully in the debate. They can now substantively communicate (and protest) their views on the military and that of their employer. This “public intellectual” debate has been too limited (in the US at least) since WWII (noted that there have been protest voices with every military action but not quite like this).

In April 2018, a group of over 3,100 Google employees wrote a letter to the company’s CEO in protest of its work on Project Maven, a military AI project that would help drone warfare tools become more accurate.
The letter explained, “We believe that Google should not be in the business of war. Therefore we ask that Project Maven be cancelled, and that Google draft, publicize and enforce a clear policy stating that neither Google nor its contractors will ever build warfare technology… This plan will irreparably damage Google’s brand and its ability to compete for talent.”


Former Google Cloud CEO Diane Greene responded to workers’ concerns by announcing in June 2018 that the company would fulfill the requirements of its existing Department of Defense contract for Project Maven, but that it would decline to pursue follow-on contracts or similar projects in the future.

https://www.cbinsights.com/research/tech-military-government-partnerships-quotes/

BTW, totally agree with Mark Benioff about the need for exec level ethics in tech advisors. Mark, I’m available…

[Salesforce employees] ask me questions I don’t have the answer to and I don’t have the authority or understanding to be able to opine on… I said I need a team that I can pivot to to say, “What is the right thing to do here?” And I’m like, it’s crazy that we don’t have a team like this. And it’s crazy that no company does.

Mark Benioff
Innovation

Whatever happened to Six Sigma?

  • September 3, 2019
  • by Andy

This article has a few problems — including lumping in Lean as “quality control” system — but points to how Six Sigma went from business process engineering star to being out of fashion. The problem wasn’t (isn’t) with Six Sigma, its in its application (and the huge array of management consultants proffering it for everything and anything). Its good for process efficiency (particularly in manufacturing defect control where it originates from) but not applied to every process in a company especially those relating to technology.

It reminds me of this diagram which I use in my teaching and thing about often:

This is not to say efficiency be dammed but that efficiency is the goal of operationally focused people and teams in mature processes. Its not the goal of technology, innovation, new product development and other areas where you need to leap.

According to Google, searches for “Six Sigma” peaked in 2004, and have fallen steadily since. LinkedIn data reveal a similar story, with fewer and fewer of its 630 million users adding Six Sigma as a skill to their online résumés. It’s since been surpassed by Agile, a management process that emerged from the world of software development.

https://qz.com/work/1635960/whatever-happened-to-six-sigma/
Marketing

Retailers are rethinking their Google Search strategies

  • September 2, 2019
  • by Andy

Article reporting that 50% of Google searches now result in “no-click”. With Google aggregating more content in page on search results, retailers and content sites are losing those clicks. This breaks down traditional SEO strategies and requires stronger presence of email lists and social followers. However, this is analogous to the Arguments being made to break up Amazon into marketplace and retailer. In doing this, Google is both running the discovery platform and keeping a large amount of traffic for itself to monetize without permission from content providers all in the interest of “user experience”. In this way, Google’s breakup might even be more critical than Amazon’s.

Data from Jumpshot says that more than 50% of Google searches in June didn’t result in a click. The results show that organic search clicks are going down even as paid Google search clicks are going up, as are searches to result in no clicks whatsoever. For brands, businesses and marketers who rely on organic Google search results to drive commerce, this means recalibrating how they think of Google in their plans.
Google is using its own algorithm to comb through high-ranking third party content and aggregate the text at the top of the search results. As a result, many people looking for answers via Google don’t need to click through.

For publishers, it presents a real problem because users are less likely to click links if the information is neatly provided on the search page. This could significantly hinder affiliate marketing revenue. And for retailers, it potentially shakes up traditional organic search strategies. While many online brands buy Google ads to get high placement, they rely on top-ranking organic search results to drive traffic to their own sites too. With more people stopping their search journeys at Google itself, retail marketers are forced to rethink organic search strategy. 

https://www.modernretail.co/platforms/retailers-are-rethinking-their-google-search-strategies
Analytics

The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code

  • August 25, 2019
  • by Andy

Fascinating story on how gambling has gone to computer models (and, amazingly, no mention of AI or ML). The historical basis.

Bill Benter did the impossible: He wrote an algorithm that couldn’t lose at the track. Close to a billion dollars later, he tells his story for the first time.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-05-03/the-gambler-who-cracked-the-horse-racing-code
Regulation

How Elizabeth Warren Came Up with a Plan to…

  • August 20, 2019
  • by Andy

The big tech platforms (GAFA, yes, I’m including you too Apple) do have too much power and control. I like the concept of separating the platform marketplace (the “utility” in Warren’s parlance) from participation therein. That particular speaks to Amazon but less clear in the Google, Facebook and Apple cases. That’s why there has to be concern about the nuance and understanding the underlying complexities (including some technical ones like security and data privacy governance). Having people without tech and tech business knowledge drive this is not great. Regulation is a blunt instrument.

The Amazon example has since become a recurring feature of Warren’s campaign speeches. She notes that, like most everyone else, she uses Amazon. At a town hall in April, Warren recalled that the last thing she’d purchased on the site was a new mailbox for her house. Still, her plan to break up Big Tech reflects a growing awareness of the drawbacks of decades of relaxed antitrust enforcement, even if certain activities such as shopping for housewares has become easier for consumers. 

https://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/how-elizabeth-warren-came-up-with-a-plan-to-break-up-big-tech
Culture

Shareholder Value Is No Longer Everything, Top C.E.O.s Say

  • August 20, 2019
  • by Andy

This is a subtle but important move saying corporations exist for all stakeholders. Finally chipping away at the narrowly focused Chicago-school of economic thought that “the social responsibility of business is to increase its profits” that Milton Friedman proffered in 1970.

21st century companies need to be responsive. That doesn’t forgo profit and shareholder responsibility but that there’s a longer game which means that corporations have a broader responsibility to customers, employees and the environment generally. Having the Business Roundtable take this step is an important sea-change.

Nearly 200 chief executives, including the leaders of Apple, Pepsi and Walmart, tried on Monday to redefine the role of business in society — and how companies are perceived by an increasingly skeptical public.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/19/business/business-roundtable-ceos-corporations.html

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